MLB

Phillies vs Braves: Predictions, Odds, & Trends

Phillies vs Braves Predictions, Odds, and Trends

April 10, 2025

The Philadelphia Phillies take on the Atlanta Braves in an early-season NL East clash featuring two of the National League’s top contenders. With both lineups capable of offensive fireworks, all eyes are on the total. In this Phillies vs Braves prediction article, we’ll break down model projections, betting trends, injury reports, and the best odds for Wednesday night’s matchup.

Preview of Phillies vs Braves Predictions

Wednesday night’s Phillies vs Braves picks center around a total of 7.5 runs. While the Braves have key bats missing, they’ve still gone over the total in 3 of their last 5 games. The Phillies, despite some inconsistency, average 4.2 runs per game and have a capable offense of their own.

Rithmm’s AI-powered model gives the edge to the over, projecting a 5-4 win for the Phillies. When it comes to Phillies vs Braves best bets, the over 7.5 runs is the top play based on both projections and value.

Injury Reports for Phillies vs Braves

Phillies Injuries:

  • Ranger Suárez (D15 – Back)
  • Ryan Burr (D15 – Shoulder)
  • Weston Wilson (D10 – Oblique)

Braves Injuries:

  • Ignacio Alvarez (D10 – Wrist)
  • Joe Jiménez (D60 – Knee)
  • Kyle Wright (D15 – Shoulder)
  • Ronald Acuña Jr. (D10 – Knee)
  • Reynaldo López (D60 – Shoulder)
  • Spencer Strider (D15 – Elbow)

The Braves are battling multiple injuries, especially to big names like Ronald Acuña and Spencer Strider, but they’ve still found ways to produce at the plate.

Who is Favored to Win Phillies vs Braves?

Despite the model favoring the Phillies 5-4, sportsbooks have Atlanta slightly favored due to their home field advantage. But in terms of betting totals, the AI sees significant value on the over 7.5, making it one of the strongest Phillies vs Braves picks for Wednesday.

  • Phillies Over/Under Record (Last 5): 2-3-0
  • Phillies Average Runs Per Game: 4.2
  • Braves Over/Under Record (Last 5): 3-2-0
  • Braves Average Runs Per Game: 3.6
  • Braves Home O/U Record: 2-2-0
  • Phillies Away O/U Record: 1-1-0

When evaluating Phillies vs Braves predictions, both teams have been close to even on totals, but the Braves’ recent trend toward the over makes this a solid over opportunity.

Model Used for Phillies vs Braves Best Bets

Rithmm’s MLB AI model projects:

  • Phillies: 5.0 runs
  • Braves: 4.0 runs

That makes 9 total runs projected, which is well above the line of 7.5. With a 63.6% win probability on the over and available plus-money odds, this is one of the top Phillies vs Braves best bets today.

What Chance Do the Phillies and Braves Have of Going Over?

This matchup offers great value on the over. Despite Atlanta’s injuries, both clubs are averaging more than 7.5 runs per game combined. Backing the over aligns with our Phillies vs Braves predictions and Rithmm’s strong model output.

Best Odds for Phillies vs Braves

Shop around to get the best price on the over 7.5 total runs:

  • WilliamHillNewJersey: Over 7.5 (+105) ✅ Best odds
  • Bet365NewJersey: Over 7.5 (+105)
  • MGM: Over 7.5 (+105)
  • DraftKings: Over 7.5 (+100)
  • PointsBet: Over 7.5 (+100)
  • SugarHouseNJ: Over 7.5 (-103)
  • FanDuel: Over 7.5 (-112)

To maximize your return, grab Over 7.5 (+105) at WilliamHillNewJersey.

My Pick for Phillies vs Braves

Both teams have question marks on the mound and enough pop in the lineup to push this total over. With a strong model projection and favorable betting trends, this is a game where the runs should come early and often.

Best Bet: Over 7.5 Total Runs (+105)

Explore More Phillies vs Braves Prediction

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