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Suns vs Thunder: Predictions, Odds, and Trends - NBA

Suns vs Thunder Predictions and Best Bets

April 9, 2025

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The Phoenix Suns take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in a Western Conference showdown where one team is limping toward the finish line. The Suns have dropped five straight against the spread and now face a Thunder team that’s been steady as a favorite. In this Suns vs Thunder prediction article, we’ll break down model picks, betting trends, injury reports, and the best odds available for Tuesday night’s matchup.

Preview of Suns vs Thunder Predictions

Oklahoma City continues to roll, particularly when laying points. They’ve covered in three of their last five games and are 3-2 ATS as favorites during that span. Phoenix, on the other hand, hasn’t covered in their last five games and struggles badly as an underdog. When analyzing Suns vs Thunder picks, it’s tough to trust Phoenix with the way they’ve been trending.

Who is Favored to Win Suns vs Thunder?

According to the latest betting lines, the Thunder are favored by 9.5 points. Rithmm’s AI model predicts a 122.3 – 109.9 final score in favor of Oklahoma City. Based on that projection, Oklahoma City -9.5 is one of the strongest Suns vs Thunder best bets available Tuesday.

Injury Reports for Suns vs Thunder

Thunder Injuries:

  • Ousmane Dieng (Out – Calf)
  • Jaylin Williams (Out – Ankle)
  • Ajay Mitchell (Out – Toe)
  • Nikola Topić (Out for Season – ACL)
  • Alex Ducas (Out – Quadriceps)

Suns Injuries:

  • Kevin Durant (Day to Day – Ankle)

The Thunder are dealing with multiple absences, but none from their main rotation. Phoenix’s outlook hinges on Kevin Durant’s ankle status.

Suns vs Thunder Trends and Betting History

  • Thunder are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Thunder are 3-2 ATS as a favorite
  • Thunder are 0-1 ATS on the road
  • Suns are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Suns are 0-5 ATS as an underdog
  • Suns are 0-2 ATS at home

These trends strongly support the Thunder side in the current Suns vs Thunder predictions.

Model Used for Suns vs Thunder Best Bets

Rithmm’s AI-powered NBA betting model projects:

Thunder 122.3 – Suns 109.9

With a 59.5% win probability and odds of -110, Thunder -9.5 is the recommended pick. These Suns vs Thunder picks lean heavily on Oklahoma City’s edge in both recent performance and predictive analytics.

What Chance Do the Thunder Have of Covering?

Based on the model output and how poorly Phoenix is performing ATS, Oklahoma City has a solid shot at winning and covering the spread. This aligns with our Suns vs Thunder predictions, which indicate significant value on OKC against the number.

Best Odds for Suns vs Thunder

Shopping the line is key when backing a double-digit spread like Thunder -9.5. Here are the best odds for Tuesday night:

  • WilliamHillNewJersey: Thunder -9.5 (-105) ✅ Best odds
  • DraftKings: Thunder -9.5 (-115)
  • MGM: Thunder -9.5 (-110)
  • FanDuel: Thunder -10.0 (-108)
  • Bet365NewJersey: Thunder -9.5 (-110)
  • SugarHouseNJ: Thunder -10.0 (-109)
  • PointsBet: Thunder -9.5 (-111)

To maximize your value, grab Thunder -9.5 (-105) at WilliamHillNJ while it’s still available.

My Pick for Suns vs Thunder

The Suns are reeling against the spread, and OKC has the firepower to keep them down. With multiple key injuries for Phoenix and a strong model projection for the Thunder, this is a clear play.

Best Bet: Thunder -9.5 (-105)

Explore More Suns vs Thunder Best Bets

Looking for more AI-powered predictions? Check out:

This AI-driven analysis is just a glimpse of what you can expect when using Rithmm. Whether you are looking to refine your betting strategy or want to explore in-depth data trends, Rithmm's AI tools for sports betting has all you need. Don't miss out on making more informed decisions and download the Rithmm app today for full access to our AI basketball predictions, NBA Computer Picks, AI Player Props, and custom sports betting models.

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