The Pittsburgh Pirates face off against the New York Mets tonight in an intriguing matchup at Citi Field. Let’s take a look at my Pirates vs Mets prediction and what bettors should consider before placing a wager on this National League clash.
This Pirates vs Mets game is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET on May 13 at Citi Field in New York. The Mets come in favored, with our model leaning toward a multi-run win. The Pirates vs Mets picks today highlight a strong value on the run line given recent trends and projections.
Injuries are playing a big role in shaping today’s Pirates vs Mets prediction.
Mets Injury Report:
Pirates Injury Report:
Both teams are dealing with several long-term injuries. However, the Pirates are especially affected in the bullpen, which impacts their ability to close tight games — a key factor in today’s Pirates vs Mets pick.
The Rithmm model gives the Mets the edge with a projected 5-3 victory. This aligns with the betting markets that price the Mets as -1.5 favorites on the run line, reflecting their stronger form at home and the Pirates’ injury-depleted pitching.
Let’s break down the most recent Pirates vs Mets trends:
The recent Pirates vs Mets history doesn’t show a definitive advantage for either side, though the Pirates’ recent ATS success suggests they’ve been competitive. Tonight’s model, however, leans toward a Mets cover.
The Rithmm MLB model is built using:
According to the model, the Mets win this game 58.5% of the time when laying -1.5 on the run line. This makes a strong case for considering the spread in your Pirates vs Mets prediction.
Here are the Pirates vs Mets Best Odds for tonight’s run line:
My Pirates vs Mets pick is Mets -1.5 at -108. With a predicted score of 5-3 and a 58.5% edge, this play offers strong value, especially at the best price available. The Mets’ solid home record and the Pirates’ injury woes align well with this run line recommendation.
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