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Purdue vs Michigan State: Predictions & Best Bets - NCAAB

Purdue vs Michigan State Predictions and Best Bets

February 18, 2025

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As we get closer to March Madness, every conference matchup carries even more weight, making each game a crucial opportunity for teams to solidify their standing. Check out how I used Rithmm models to make my Purdue vs Michigan State pick. The model considers various key factors to generate a Purdue vs Michigan State prediction, helping bettors find the best edge for this matchup.

With AI sports betting tools, you can uncover trends, analyze college basketball computer picks, and find the best Purdue vs Michigan State odds, all powered by the Rithmm App. In this Rithmm AI Sports Prediction, I’ll walk you through how I use Rithmm’s data-driven approach to guide my sports wagering decision for my Purdue vs Michigan State prediction.

Rithmm empowers bettors with AI-driven insights, allowing them to predict, bet, and dominate with advanced predictive models. Let’s dive into the game breakdown and my recommended bet for tonight’s matchup.

Preview of Purdue vs Michigan State 

Purdue 

Purdue enters this matchup on a two-game losing streak but the good thing is they have won five straight against Sparty. 

Despite losing two straight conference games Purdue still has a chance to win the Big Ten regular-season championship. Taking down MSU will help in that effort. 

Trey Kaufman-Ren is having a breakout year for Purdue averaging 19.4 points per contest, which is 15 more than last season.

Kaufman-Ren is a factor in this Purdue vs Michigan State Prediction.  

Purdue  Season Records

  • 19-7
  • 15-11 ATS 
  • 15-10-1 to the over 

MSU 

Coach Tom Izzo is eyeing his 11th Big 10 regular season title as his squad sits a game back of in-state rival Michigan and a half-game ahead of Purdue. 

Sparty has been struggling of late losing three of their last five games including an embarrassing defeat against Indiana in East Lansing as 11-point favorites. 

MSU is only shooting 29% from beyond the arc which is 347th out of 355 teams in Division One. 

Michigan State’s poor three-point shooting is a factor in this College Hoops AI Prediction. 

Senior guard Jaden Adkins is one of the few offensive bright spots for Sparty leading the team in scoring (13.2 ppg). 

MSU Season Records

  • 20-5
  • 15-9-1 ATS
  • 9-16 to the over 

Purdue vs Michigan State History 

Both teams have been total opposite when it comes to the over/under. 

Boilermakers vs Spartans History/Trends 

  • Purdue has won five straight in this series and nine of ten overall
  • MSU has covered five of the last six in this series 

Last Five Games

  • Purdue Boilermakers
    • 3-2 Straight Up 
    • 3-2 ATS 
    • 4-1 to the over
    • Scoring 83.6 PPG
    • Allowing 79.6 PPG 
  • Michigan State Spartans
    • 2-3 Straight Up 
    • 2-2-1 ATS
    • 1-4 to the over 
    • Scoring 71.4 PPG 
    • Allowing 68.6 PPG 

How I use Rithmm models for my Purdue vs Michigan State Prediction

Rithmm is the tool for all gamblers from squares to sharps and everything in between. I use Rithmm to identify games that may not be on my radar and for value plays. 

If you are wondering how the Rithmm visionaries came up with the name, Rithmm is short for algorithm with an m added to the end for models.

Rithmm’s data scientists have harnessed the power of AI and predictive models to produce a top-notch betting application that will help you bet smarter, not harder. 

Rithmm users have the option of building their models or by simply clicking a button Rithmm will create them for you. 

Below are the factors that the models utilize to make Men’s College Basketball Computer Picks 

Rithmm provides models but also stats, trends, and betting lines. You don’t have to leave the app to find essential information. 

Current odds: 

  • MSU -3.5
  • Purdue +147/ MSU -166
  • Total: 148.5

The Spartans will slow this game down combined with their inability to shoot the three-ball has me leaning towards a play on the under. 

Let’s look at what my model is predicting for this AI sports betting pick.

My Purdue vs Michigan State Pick

The model predicts with a 58% probability these teams will combine for 145.5 points. That is three points of value! 

Pick: Under 148.5

I hope you enjoy your night of College Hoops Action and gamble responsibly.

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