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Raiders vs Broncos: AI Prediction - NFL Picks for Todays Game

October 2, 2024

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As the NFL calendar turns to week five the Raiders and Broncos are both surprisingly sitting at 2-2. Read about how I leverage the power of AI and predictive models to make my AI Sports Betting Prediction.  

Preview of Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos AI Picks 

The Las Vegas Raiders and the Denver Broncos are in the midst of what seems to be never-ending rebuilds. But things are starting well this season for both teams each with two wins in their first four games. 

In a year where the Kansas City Chiefs seem beatable, this game is important for both these teams. 

Learn how I utilize AI to make my sports wagering decision in this AI-Powered NFL Prediction

Las Vegas Raiders

Las Vegas is wrapped up in a tad of drama right now with star WR Davante Adams requesting a trade according to multiple media outlets. 

Not having Adams is not much of a worry as they showed last week they can win without him. And at times having a player requesting to leave can galvanise a team. 

The good news is defensive stud Maxx Crosby should be in the lineup for the silver and black. Crosby is a dynamic pass rusher who should force rookie QB Bo Nix into a few mistakes. 

Having Crosby back in the lineup is a factor in my Raiders vs Broncos AI prediction. 

Denver Broncos 

The Broncos have won two games but in two different ways. 

Against Tampa Bay in week three they scored 26 points and recorded 352 total yards. 

Against the Jets in week four they only scored 10 points and recorded 186 total yards. 

It will be interesting to see which team shows up this week.

One thing is clear defensive coordinator Vance Joseph has the defense humming. 

  • Second in yards allowed per play at 4.5
  • Third in yards allowed at 256.5
  • Third in defensive scoring at 13.8 

The Bronco's up-and-down offense and stellar defense are both factors in my Vegas vs Denver AI-fueled prediction. 

How I use Rithmm models for my Raiders vs Broncos AI Prediction

Rithmm is advancing the ball on utilizing artificial intelligence and predictive models in the sports gambling world. Their founder was educated at MIT and comes from a sports coaching background. It is a deadly duo for the sports books. 

Rithmm is user-friendly and allows its users to build at least three models. You can trust the data scientist to do their thing or you can customize them if you want. 

For this Raiders vs Broncos AI prediction I will be using one of my customized models. 

Here are the factors the model utilizes ⬇️

Rithmm is always looking to add features to make their user experience even better. They added stats/trends analysis this NFL season!

Both teams have been profitable to the number over their last five games. But the Raiders being 3-1 ATS as a dog is huge and a factor in my Raiders vs Broncos AI prediction. 

Currently, the Broncos are favored by three points and the total is set at 36. I’m leaning towards backing the Raiders and taking the road dog. 

Let's check out my Rithmm model to see what it has to say about the situation. 

For more information on how the models work click here

Using Rithmm Models to Solidify My Prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Prediction

The model I will be using has been back-tested with three years worth of game data and has a win rate of 57% over those three years.

Let's break down this graphic. 

First that green star, green means good.

The model predicts with a probability of 57.8% that this will be a one-point loss for the Raiders. 

I like what I’m seeing!

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos AI Prediction 

My official Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos AI-Powered Prediction is Raiders +3. 

The trends are pointing me that way and the model backs it up! 

I hope you enjoy your week five of NFL Action and gamble responsibly.

Make your own picks with your free Rithmm trial

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