The Sacramento Kings head to Indiana to face the Pacers in a clash of two teams trending in very different directions. While the Kings have struggled both on the road and as underdogs, the Pacers have been dominant at home and consistently win as favorites. In this article, we’ll break down the Kings vs Pacers predictions using Rithmm’s AI-powered betting model.

Preview of Kings vs Pacers Prediction

Sacramento has lost four of their last five and is winless in five road games. Their inability to get stops late in games and close out on the road has cost them valuable wins. Meanwhile, the Pacers have been sharp at home with a 4-1 record and are 2-1 as favorites in their last five.

When evaluating Kings vs Pacers picks, the trends and home-court advantage clearly favor Indiana, though Sacramento’s moneyline odds may offer some longshot value.

Who is Favored to Win Kings vs Pacers?

Indiana is the favorite in this matchup, and Rithmm’s model supports that sentiment with a projected score of Pacers 118.6 – Kings 113.7. That 4.9-point margin reflects Indiana’s stronger recent form and their ability to win at home. Sacramento enters as the underdog, but there’s a slight chance they could surprise if things fall their way.

Kings vs Pacers History and Betting Trends

• Kings are 1-4 overall in their last five games
• Pacers are 3-2 overall in their last five
• Kings are 0-5 on the road
• Pacers are 4-1 at home
• Kings are 0-3 as underdogs
• Pacers are 2-1 as favorites

These betting trends are key to understanding the Kings vs Pacers predictions and what to expect from each side.

Model Used for Kings vs Pacers Best Bet

Rithmm’s AI model predicts the final score as:
Pacers 118.6 – Kings 113.7

Despite the projection favoring Indiana, the model highlights Kings moneyline (+183) as a value play, with a 36.5% win probability. These Kings vs Pacers best bets suggest that while the Kings are unlikely to win outright, the odds provide potential +EV in this spot.

What Chance Do the Kings Have of Beating the Pacers?

Rithmm’s model gives Sacramento a 36.5% chance to win the game outright. While they’ve struggled on the road, the price on their moneyline makes them a worthwhile underdog option if you’re looking for a higher return with moderate risk.

My Pick for Kings vs Pacers

After reviewing Kings vs Pacers predictions, picks, and model insights, Indiana is the better team and should win this game. However, Sacramento’s +183 moneyline offers enough value to warrant a small play if you’re looking to back a live underdog with decent upside.

Best Bet: Kings moneyline (+183)

Explore More Kings vs Pacers Best Bets

Looking for more AI-powered predictions? Check out:

• AI Sports Betting insights for smarter decision-making.
• NBA AI Sports Predictions for advanced game insights.
• Computer NBA Picks for expert computer-driven predictions.
• NBA PrizePicks for AI PrizePick predictions.
• AI NBA Player Props for deeper in-game data

Do you also bet on college basketball? Get your AI March Madness Bracket here!

This AI sports betting analysis is just a glimpse of what you can expect when using Rithmm. Whether you’re looking to refine your betting strategy or want to explore in-depth data trends, Rithmm's AI tools for sports betting has all you need. Don't miss out on making more informed decisions—download the Rithmm app today for full access to our AI basketball predictions, NBA Computer Picks, AI Player Props, and custom sports betting models.