The 2024-25 college basketball season continues with Saint Mary’s vs Alabama in what should be an exciting non-conference showdown. Both teams are looking to build momentum heading into conference play. Let’s break down our Saint Mary’s vs Alabama predictions, picks, and best bets using insights from Rithmm’s AI-powered models.

Preview of Saint Mary’s vs Alabama Prediction

Saint Mary’s enters this matchup with an 0-5 overall record against the spread (ATS), struggling both on the road and as an underdog (0-1). The Gaels have not been able to cover lately, but their disciplined style could keep them competitive in a tough matchup.

On the other side, Alabama is 2-3 overall ATS and just 1-2 at home. The Crimson Tide have also struggled to cover as favorites (1-2), making this Saint Mary’s vs Alabama matchup more unpredictable than the records suggest.

Who is Favored to Win Saint Mary’s vs Alabama?

Alabama enters this game as the favorite, but not without question marks. Despite their home-court advantage, recent ATS struggles suggest this Saint Mary’s vs Alabama contest could be tighter than expected. Saint Mary’s has the potential to hang around and keep things close.

Saint Mary’s vs Alabama History and Trends

Before making Saint Mary’s vs Alabama picks, let's look at recent betting trends:

• Saint Mary’s is 0-5 overall ATS and 0-1 away.
• Alabama is 2-3 overall ATS and just 1-2 at home.
• Saint Mary’s has yet to cover as an underdog (0-1), while Alabama has struggled to cover as a favorite (1-2).

How Many Times Has Alabama Beaten Saint Mary’s?

In their limited history, Alabama holds the edge over Saint Mary’s. With the Crimson Tide’s home-court advantage and offensive talent, they are positioned well. However, given both teams’ ATS struggles, this Saint Mary’s vs Alabama matchup remains one to watch carefully.

Model Used for Saint Mary’s vs Alabama Best Bet

Using Rithmm’s pre-built NCAAM model, we analyze team stats and betting data to find the best picks for Saint Mary’s vs Alabama.

Model prediction:

• Alabama 76.8, Saint Mary’s 73.5

The model suggests a narrow Alabama win but sees value in backing the underdog.
Recommended pick: Saint Mary’s +5.5 with a 56.3% win probability to cover.

What Chance Does Saint Mary’s Have of Beating Alabama?

According to Rithmm’s model, Saint Mary’s has a 56.3% chance of covering the spread and a decent shot to keep this game closer than the line suggests. While an outright win is less likely, this underdog position makes the Gaels a potential value play in Saint Mary’s vs Alabama predictions.

My Pick for Saint Mary’s vs Alabama

After reviewing Saint Mary’s vs Alabama predictions, betting trends, and Rithmm model insights, my pick is Saint Mary’s +5.5. Despite recent ATS struggles, the Gaels’ disciplined approach and Alabama’s inconsistent performances against the spread make taking the points the smart play.

Best Bet: Saint Mary’s +5.5

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