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Saints vs Broncos: NFL Predictions - TNF

October 17, 2024

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Last week on Thursday Night Football, the San Francisco 49ers defeated the Seattle Seahawks in their first of two divisional matchups.

This week, Spencer Rattler and the New Orleans Saints host Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos in a matchup of two rookie quarterbacks.

We'll be breaking down the game preview, our Rithmm model for this matchup, and my prediction for this game, so let's get into our Saints vs Broncos TNF Predictions for Week 7.

Saints vs Broncos TNF Preview

This game has looked sort of unappealing for weeks, as QB Bo Nix has looked less than stellar for the Broncos in his first NFL season. After starting 2-0 the Saints similarly started to look sluggish, but things have really fallen apart, with QB Derek Carr and WRs Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed out for this game now.

Rattler has stepped in for Carr and so far, he really hasn't looked terrible. He threw two interceptions against the Buccaneers last week, but one came late with Rattler looking to play hero and otherwise, he had a decent first outing.

This will be a massive test for him against a strong pass defense, albeit one missing their top player in Pat Surtain II. Regardless, he will be without two of his best weapons and possibly without a third in Taysom Hill.

Speaking of the Broncos, they seem to be struggling just as soon as they looked like they might get things going. It will be interesting to se how they hold up against a Saints offense that has shown the ability to score points but not really the ability to stop other teams in recent weeks.

That feeds right into my Rithmm custom sports betting model that I built for this game.

Saints vs Broncos Thursday Night Football Rithmm Model

Building NFL models using Rithmm's technology is super easy! All you need to do is go into the Rithmm website or app, click on the models tab under NFL, and either click 'Build a Model For Me' or 'Personalize a Model'. The first option will auto-generate a model for you using our AI simulations and backtesting to determine what works.

After clicking 'Personalize a Model', you can build your model, either by utilizing the pre-made factors, or if you have Rithmm Premium, you can build your own custom factors using any variety of our numerous research analytics. Once that model has finishing its "training" and you name it, you're ready to track some NFL bets!

For a complete look, check out how to build a Rithmm NFL prediction model.

This is a model that I put together specifically to target totals in games. As you can see, the backtesting is immensely accurate from a betting perspective when it comes to game totals, with a near-70% success rating.

Saints vs Broncos TNF Game Prediction

It’s time to see my game prediction for Week 7 TNF. We’re going to go into my prediction that is based on my custom Rithmm model, and why I think it's a good choice.

If you want to see the full predictions for this game, including our recommended player props, make sure you sign up for your FREE seven-day trial of Rithmm by clicking at the bottom of the page!

TNF Game Prediction for Broncos @ Saints

Pick: Under 37 (-112)

Win Probability: 56.9%

DTM: 7.7%

This could bea really ugly game. On one side, you have Nix, who has underperformed in nearly every game this season. The running game has struggled a ton here, so can we depend on it to get going in this one?

On the other, Rattler will be without three of his top weapons. His top three wide receivers are rookie Day 3 pick Bub Means, career journeyman Cedrick Wilson, and Mason Tipton, who I had never heard of two weeks ago. Alvin Kamara has been extremely inefficient lately. Despite the fact this game is in a dome, I can't see either of these two teams airing it out accurately.

All of this leads to a very unappealing football game. I'll be taking the under alongside my Rithmm model.

Closing Remarks on Saints vs Broncos TNF Predictions

I think we're in store for a fantastic year, and if you follow all of Rithmm's insights and tools, you will be too.

Ready to elevate your NFL betting experience? Create a Rithmm account today and explore our AI-driven models for AI NFL sports betting picks. Choose between our core or premium subscription to unlock advanced tools and strategies designed to enhance your betting success.

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