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Sky vs Liberty: AI Predictions and WNBA Bet Picks

July 11, 2024

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With both teams coming off of wins yesterday, the Sky travel to New York to take on the Liberty in the only game on the WNBA slate today. See how I used Rithmm to create custom sports betting models to get my AI prediction for Chicago vs New York.

The Chicago Sky (9  - 12) are looking to continue their recent run having gone 3 - 1 over their last 4 games. They come into New York a +10 dog to the Liberty (18 - 4) who come into this game leading the league and have gone 8 - 2 over their last 10 games.

Both teams have split the series this season with the Sky taking the first game 90 - 81 in May and the Liberty returning the favor 88 - 75 in June as both teams won on the road. There will be no rest advantage for either team as both are effectively traveling as the Sky played at home on Wednesday while the Liberty were playing the Sun in Connecticut.

I'm banking on a sluggish defensive effort for this CHI vs NYL AI pick.

Preview of Sky vs Liberty AI Prediction

The Chicago Sky and New York Liberty meet Thursday July 11th at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY for a 7:00 PM EDT game. You can watch it on Local Fox 5 New York, Liberty Live (Livestream), The U and on WNBA League Pass.

Chicago Sky Preview

Chicago comes into this game leading the league in offensive rebounds per game and have kept themselves in games on the back of Angel Reese and her 11.9 rebounds per game. The 6'3" forward from LSU is having a stellar season as she posted her 14th double double yesterday against the Atlanta Dream, putting in 11 points and 13 rebounds.

The Sky also benefited from 5'9" guard Chennedy Carter and her 16.6 points per game. Against the Dream, Carter had 19 points and 5 rebounds as she led the team to a solid win over Atlanta.

The Sky are now seventh in the standings sitting just above the Fever and a game and a half behind the Mercury. Chicago leads the league in rebounds per game with 36.7 and are third in steals per game with 8.7.

New York Liberty Preview

New York has been a solid team all season and are at the top of most offensive and defensive categories. They're second in the league in points and assists per game and lead the league in three pointers made. Defensively they are third in rebounds per game at 35.9 and fifth in steals.

Led by 7 year veteran Breanna Stewart, the 6'4" forward is averaging 19.4 points and 9.2 rebounds per game. She helped lead the Liberty with 18 points and 14 rebounds yesterday and coupled with Sabrina Ionescu's 21 points, helped secure the win against a pesky Sun team that wouldn't go away.

The Liberty allow the fewest opponent second chance points per game and will have to rely on Stewart and center Jonquel Jones at the glass if they hope to slow the Sky.

Let's see how this Chicago vs New York AI prediction came together.

How I Use Rithmm Models for my Sky vs Liberty AI Prediction

Rithmm is my tool of choice to help me find agreement with my other metrics. Here are some trends coming into this game:

  • Chicago is 4 -8 against the spread in their last 12 games
  • Chicago has gone over the total in 8 of their last 12 games
  • Chicago has gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 road games
  • Chicago has gone under in 6 of their last 8 games at New York
  • New York has gone 3 - 6 against the spread in their last 9 games
  • New York has gone under in 4 of their last 5 games
Sky vs Liberty - WNBA AI Model A

As you can see below in my Rithmm AI Custom Betting Models I will be taking the Over:

CHI Sky vs NY Liberty AI Prediction

This line had remained mostly stagnant until this morning where there has been a slight up tick in the line from 165.5 to 166.5. The money is slightly heavy on the under and this reverse line movement shows that there is some sharp money coming in on the over.

With the above in mind and two teams that have the ability to put up points, we'll be taking the Over at 166.5.

Make your own picks with your free Rithmm trial

All models are completely customizable, and while I prefer to let the app build two of the models for me while I add in one of my own to round out the Rithmm AI Picks, you can choose your own models by signing in to the Rithmm app. The sports betting AI models analyze player stats, historical data and more to provide you with another tool in your betting toolbox.

Sign in to the Rithmm app to unlock AI picks for the Dream vs Sky and gain access to exclusive AI WNBA picks, custom sports betting models, as well as additional betting insights.

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