WNBA

Mercury vs Wings: AI Prediction

July 5, 2024

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In one of two late games on today's slate, the Sky travel to Seattle to face the Storm. See how I used Rithmm to create custom sports betting models to get to my AI prediction for Chicago vs Seattle.

The Seattle Storm (13 - 6) are hoping to continue an eight-game home winning streak this evening as they host the Chicago Sky (7 - 11) in their second match-up of the season. The Storm won the first meeting 77 - 68 and come into this game well rested after winning on Monday against the Wings. The Sky are coming in on 2 days rest after winning on Tuesday against the Dream.

Preview of Sky vs Storm AI Prediction

The Chicago Sky and the Seattle Storm meet Friday July 5th at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA at 10:00 PM EDT. The game can be seen nationally on ION television as well as NBA League Pass.

Chicago Sky Preview

The Sky, led by 6'5" rookie forward and newly named All-Star Angel Reese, who also leads the league with 11.8 rebounds per game, and 4th year star Chennedy Carter with her 15.3 PPG, have lost two of their last three games and are a paltry 4 - 6 over their last 10 as they look to build on their 85 - 77 win over the Atlanta Dream this past Tuesday.

Chicago is tied for fourth in the Eastern Conference with Atlanta and eighth overall in the standings and are a half game ahead of the Fever. The Sky bring a defense that is second in the league in rebounds per game and third in steals per game, but it hasn't been enough to stop opposing offenses from putting up 80.8 points per game against

them. They also have Reese, who has 11 consecutive double-doubles and is coming off of a 12-point, 19 rebound game against the Dream.

Seattle Storm Preview

The Storm are led by 5'11" guard Jewell Lloyd and her 20.2 PPG and who is coming off of a 26-point night against the Wings on Monday.  

Seattle is on a four-game winning streak and are 7 - 3 over their last 10. They have won all four of their last games by double digits and look to continue this against Chicago. The Storm average 84.2 points per game and are only giving up 77.9 points per game on defense as well as pulling 36.2 rebounds per game. That kind of differential has proven pivotal in their 13 - 6 record and, as they continue to ride Lloyd and Nneka Ogwumike, who was just named to her 9th All-Star game, the Storm will be a formidable foe coming into tonight's game.

Let's see how this Sky at Wings AI Prediction came together.

How I Use Rithmm Models for my Sky vs Storm AI Prediction

As I've stated previously, I tend to play the totals for my AI WNBA picks and Rithmm is the main tool I use to provide me with, but I do look at other metrics to help me decide. Here are some trends coming into this game:

  • The Storm is 3 - 0 ATS when favored by 9.5 points or more this season
  • The total has gone under in 4 of the last 6 Storm games
  • The total has gone over 161.5 in 11 of 19 Storm games this season
  • The total has gone under in 4 of the last 6 Storm games
  • The total has gone over in 11 of the last 15 Storm games at home against the Sky
  • The total has gone over in 7 of last 9 Sky games
  • The total has gone over in 4 of last 6 Sky road games

As you can see below in my Rithmm AI Custom Betting Models I will be taking the Over:

Sky vs Storm - WNBA Model

This line opened at 161.5 and has ticked up slightly showing sharp money is on the over. With a current spread of -10.5 this game could end up closer than expected, but all of my models are leaning to the over and the Pro's seem to agree.

Chicago Sky vs Seattle Storm AI Prediction

The models are pretty clear on this one and it seems as if the Rithmm nation is in agreement as well showing 76.6% of you see this as overwhelmingly going to the over.

So tonight I'll be taking the Over at 162.0.

Make your own picks with your free Rithmm trial

All models are completely customizable, and while I prefer to let the app build two of the models for me while I add in one of my own to round out the Rithmm AI Picks, you can choose your own models by signing in to the Rithmm app. The sports betting AI models analyze player stats, historical data and more to provide you with another tool in your betting toolbox.

Sign in to the Rithmm app to unlock AI picks for the Sky vs Storm and gain access to exclusive AI WNBA picks, custom sports betting models, as well as additional betting insights.

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