We’re deep into the 2024-2025 NBA season, and matchups like this one between the San Antonio Spurs and Sacramento Kings present crucial opportunities to find value. The Kings are pushing for a secure playoff spot while the Spurs, without Victor Wembanyama, are shifting focus toward development and the draft. Let's dive into our Spurs vs Kings predictions, picks, and best bets using Rithmm's AI-powered insights.
The Sacramento Kings come into this matchup sitting in ninth place in the Western Conference at 32-29, aiming to stay firmly in the play-in tournament. Despite trading De’Aaron Fox, the Kings have continued their solid play, winning seven of their last 12 games and finding rhythm with new addition Zach LaVine.
The Spurs, on the other hand, are trending in the opposite direction. At 25-34, San Antonio is now focused on the future after losing Wembanyama for the season. De’Aaron Fox has led the way since being traded to San Antonio, but the team has struggled to find consistency.
Sacramento enters as a 5.0-point favorite, and their recent form suggests they have the upper hand at home. The Spurs vs Kings picks from the Rithmm models align with the Kings having the edge, but let's look at the full breakdown.
Before locking in any Spurs vs Kings predictions, it's important to consider the history between these two teams. Sacramento and San Antonio have gone in opposite directions over the past few seasons, with the Kings becoming playoff regulars and the Spurs continuing a rebuild.
While the Spurs have held the historical edge in the rivalry, recent seasons have been kinder to Sacramento, who have been dominant at home and have taken advantage of San Antonio’s defensive lapses.
To support my Spurs vs Kings best bets, I leaned on the Rithmm app, using three custom AI models to analyze this matchup.
Each model indicates a slight edge towards Sacramento, showing consistency in the Spurs vs Kings predictions across different play styles.
Rithmm’s AI models suggest San Antonio will have difficulty overcoming Sacramento on the road, particularly without Wembanyama. While De’Aaron Fox has been a leader for the Spurs, his shooting struggles and Sacramento’s balanced attack make it tough to see San Antonio pulling off the upset.
After analyzing the Rithmm models and reviewing recent trends, my preferred pick in the Spurs vs Kings best bets is the Kings -5. Sacramento’s home-court advantage and offensive consistency should be enough to pull away from a Spurs team lacking its franchise centerpiece. I expect the Kings to cover the spread and maintain their position in the Western Conference playoff race.
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