NBA

Spurs vs Kings: AI Prediction

November 12, 2024

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Preview of Kings vs Spurs AI Predictions

Our AI Picks have you covered for this game + many more

With Rithmm’s AI Picks model you are able to dive deep into just about any trend you can think of, below is just a snap shot of what I pulled for todays game. 

Kings Preview

The Kings were held to under 100 points by the Clippers on Friday, struggling mightily from beyond the arc (3-for-26), with just one three-pointer made in the second half. Despite dominating in the paint with an 18-point scoring margin, the Clippers’ 46.7% shooting from three-point range and 91.3% from the free-throw line secured the win. The Kings never led by more than three points.

Their shooting woes from deep continued from the previous game (10-for-35). Sacramento is enduring a prolonged cold spell from three, ranking 29th in the league in three-point percentage (30.7%) this season. However, they still rank 7th in scoring and 5th in field goal percentage, leading the NBA in rim shooting (72.7%) and free-throw percentage (84.5%).

Currently, the Kings sit 12th in NET rating, 8th in offensive rating, and 14th in defensive rating, according to Dunks and Threes, though they have faced the NBA's weakest strength of schedule.

Spurs Preview

San Antonio narrowly lost to Utah in their last outing, despite a standout performance from center Victor Wembanyama. The second-year star tallied 24 points, 16 rebounds, and seven blocks, shooting 6-for-9 from beyond the arc in the one-point defeat. The Spurs also got a boost from rookie guard Stephon Castle, who scored 23 points, and the return of guard Devin Vassell, who put up 18 points in his season debut after missing seven months with a fractured foot.

The Spurs are currently without head coach Gregg Popovich, who has missed the last five games due to a health issue. With no set timeline for his return, the young, developing team is under the guidance of acting head coach Mitch Johnson.

Offensively, San Antonio has struggled this season, ranking 29th in points per game and 19th in field goal percentage. Despite a high shooting percentage at the rim (66.2%), they rank 22nd in offensive rating, due to being 28th in mid-range shooting and 22nd in three-point accuracy. Defensively, they’ve been more effective, ranking 15th in defensive rating. Their opponents have found it difficult to score inside, shooting just 51.5 percent on two-pointers, the sixth-lowest in the NBA.

How I Use Rithmm Models for Kings vs Spurs AI Prediction:

Recent Performance:

  • Sacramento Kings: The Kings have won their last three games, improving their season record to 6-4. Their offense has been potent, averaging 125 points per game over this winning streak.
  • San Antonio Spurs: The Spurs have lost two consecutive games, bringing their record to 4-6. Despite the losses, rookie center Victor Wembanyama has been a standout, averaging 24 points, 16 rebounds, and seven blocks in the recent loss to the Jazz.

Head-to-Head Trends:

  • The Kings have won five of the last seven matchups against the Spurs.
  • In their last meeting, Sacramento defeated San Antonio 132-112.

Betting Trends:

  • Against the Spread (ATS):some text
    • The Kings are 6-4 ATS this season and 3-2 ATS on the road.
    • The Spurs are 4-7 ATS overall and 2-3 ATS at home.
  • Over/Under:some text
    • The Spurs have hit the over in nine of their 11 games this season, indicating high-scoring affairs.
    • The Kings have gone over the total in five of their 11 games.

Key Players to Watch:

  • Kings:some text
    • DeMar DeRozan leads the team with an average of 24.6 points per game.
    • Domantas Sabonis contributes 13.0 rebounds and 7.1 assists per game.
  • Spurs:some text
    • Victor Wembanyama averages 18.3 points, 10.2 rebounds, and 4.0 blocks per game.
    • Chris Paul adds 8.1 assists per game.

Injury Updates:

  • The Kings played an overtime game against the Suns on Sunday, which may impact player fatigue.
  • The Spurs are without head coach Gregg Popovich, who has missed the last five games due to health issues.

My of Spurs vs Kings AI Prediction

A screenshot of a sports gameDescription automatically generated

I’m taking the San Antonio Spurs to cover the spread at home against the visiting Sacramento Kings. The Kings are coming off a back-to-back, with Sunday’s game on the road, and they may be feeling the effects of fatigue, especially as this is their third game in four days, starting with a tough loss to the Clippers on Friday. Sacramento’s struggles from deep could be a problem here, as scoring close to the basket will be challenging against defensive standout Victor Wembanyama, who’s averaging 4 blocks per game. The Spurs play tough defense, ranking 4th in the league, and should be able to limit a tired Kings team from scoring inside. Additionally, the Spurs have performed much better at home than on the road this season.

Selection: Spurs +1.5

If you’re looking for more Rithmms’ AI Picks you can check them out here.

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