Texans vs Chiefs: AI Prediction

With AI sports betting, dive deep into trends, performance analysis, and betting insights for this AFC Divisional playoff game between the Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs.

Let's have a look at the app I use for my NFL predictions that includes trends, player props, AI generated predictions and best odds all curated from the Rithmm App. At the end of this post, you'll see how Rithmm's AI-driven models can help you make a more informed decision when placing your weekly bets.

How to Watch Texans vs Chiefs NFL Game

• Date: Saturday January 18
• Time: 4:30 PM ET
• Location: Geha Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
• Surface: Natural Grass
• How to Watch: ABC

Preview and Analysis for Texans vs Chiefs AI Prediction

Let's preview these two teams before I show you how I used the Rithmm App to create custom sports betting models to get my AI prediction.

Texans Preview

The Texans head to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs after completely dismantling the Los Angeles Chargers this past weekend 32 - 12. Houston had four interceptions as their defense kept Justin Herbert off balance all day.

Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud three for 282 yards on 22 of 33 passing with one touchdown and one interception while being sacked three times. Stroud also ran for 42 yards.

Wide Receiver Nico Collins caught 7 passes for 122 yards and a touchdown and running back Joe Mixon ran for 106 yards on 25 carries and a touchdown.

But the real star of the game was the Texans defense who held the Chargers to 50 rushing yards, 242 passing yards and the four interceptions including one returned for a touchdown by Eric Murray.

Houston is ranked 16th in the ESPN NFL Power Index 2024.

Chiefs Preview

Kansas City enters this game having gone 15 - 2 on the season and earning a first round bye last week and should enter this game healthy and rested.

Patrick Mahomes is no stranger to the divisional round sporting a 6 - 0 record, the most wins without a loss in any playoff round in NFL history. Mahomes is coming off of another solid year having thrown for 3,928 passing yards in the regular season with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, though he was sacked 36 times, the most in any season in his career.

Travis Kelce led the team with 823 receiving yards followed by Xavier Worthy who had 638 yards with six touchdowns while Kareem Hunt led the Chiefs in rushing with 728 yards, a 3.6 yards per game average, and seven touchdowns on the year.

Kansas City is ranked 6th in the ESPN NFL Power Index 2024.

How I Used Rithmm Models for Texans vs Chiefs AI Prediction

The Texans had a great defensive game last week and even their offense looked like it had a sign of life against the Chargers. But this week won't be the Chargers and the Texans are still the Texans. Their saving grace is and has been that 6th ranked defense who gave up 315 yards per game during the regular season and have averaged 261 in the playoffs so far.

While I guess I wasn't surprised by the line opening with the Chiefs -7.5, I was surprised that it went up, as high as -9 at some books. When things like this happen, I run as quickly as I can to my handy Rithmm app and see what's cooking.

And what's cooking is a solid 62.3% win probability on the Texans covering this spread. Let's face it, if you've been betting at all this season, you've had to have seen many posts about the Chiefs inability to cover the spread, and when you look at their last 10 games, they've only covered 3 times and only once at home in their last 5 home games.

I like this spot. I don't think the Texans will play as badly as some predict, though I'm under no illusion they will win, but to keep this closer to a field goal vs 2 possession game? Yeah, I can easily see that. And with a solid win probability such as this, I'm going to trust my models.

I'll be taking the Texans +8.0 this weekend.

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