The 2024-25 college basketball season continues with Troy vs Kentucky in what should be an exciting non-conference showdown. Both teams are looking to build momentum heading into conference play. Let’s break down our Troy vs Kentucky predictions, picks, and best bets using insights from Rithmm’s AI-powered models.

Preview of Troy vs Kentucky Prediction

Troy enters this matchup with a perfect 5-0 record against the spread (ATS), including an impressive 5-0 ATS record on the road. The Trojans have been one of the most consistent teams in college basketball betting this season and have proven they can cover in both dog and favorite roles.

On the other side, Kentucky holds a 3-2 ATS record with a strong 4-1 performance at home. The Wildcats’ balanced offense and tough home court make them a favorite in this Troy vs Kentucky matchup, but their inconsistency against the spread as favorites (2-0 but still untested) makes this game interesting.

Who is Favored to Win Troy vs Kentucky?

Kentucky enters this game as the favorite, with their home-court advantage and talent edge being key factors. However, given Troy’s perfect ATS record and ability to cover as an underdog, this Troy vs Kentucky game could be closer than the odds suggest.

Troy vs Kentucky History and Trends

Before locking in any Troy vs Kentucky picks, let's look at the latest betting trends:

• Troy is 5-0 ATS overall and 5-0 ATS on the road.
• Kentucky is 3-2 ATS overall and 4-1 at home straight up.
• Troy is 1-0 ATS as an underdog, showing strong cover potential.
• Kentucky is 2-0 ATS when favored but could face pressure from a surging Troy squad.

How many times has Kentucky beaten Troy?

Kentucky has historically dominated in matchups like these, but the Trojans’ ability to consistently cover spreads makes this Troy vs Kentucky matchup a potential upset opportunity.

Model Used for Troy vs Kentucky Best Bet

Using Rithmm’s pre-built NCAAM model, we analyze team stats and betting data to find the best picks for Troy vs Kentucky.

• Model prediction: Kentucky 80.2, Troy 72.0
• The model expects a competitive game, and the recommended pick is Troy Moneyline (+512) with a 21.5% win probability.

What chance does Troy have of beating Kentucky?

According to Rithmm’s model, Troy has a 21.5% chance of pulling off the upset. While that number may seem small, the Trojans’ perfect ATS record and road success make them a live underdog in Troy vs Kentucky predictions.

My Pick for Troy vs Kentucky

After reviewing Troy vs Kentucky predictions, trends, and Rithmm model insights, I’m taking a shot on Troy Moneyline at +512. With incredible value and a team that has proven itself against the spread, the Trojans are worth a look to pull off the upset.

Best Bet: Troy Moneyline (+512)

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