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Tulsa vs North Texas: Predictions & Best Bet - NCAAB

Tulsa vs North Texas Predictions and Best Bets

March 14, 2025

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The Tulsa Golden Hurricane travel to take on the North Texas Mean Green in this Conference USA matchup. Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, but Tulsa has been showing promise as an underdog, covering the spread in three of their last four games. Meanwhile, North Texas has struggled to cover as a favorite, failing to do so in three of their last four games. Can Tulsa keep this one competitive and cover the spread? Let's dive into our Tulsa vs North Texas predictions, picks, and best bets using Rithmm’s AI-powered insights.

Preview of Tulsa vs North Texas Prediction

Tulsa enters this game with a 3-2 against-the-spread (ATS) record in its last five games and a solid 2-1 ATS mark on the road. North Texas, on the other hand, has struggled in similar situations, holding a 2-3 ATS record overall and a concerning 0-2 ATS record at home.

Looking at Tulsa vs North Texas picks, Tulsa has been a strong performer in the underdog role, going 3-1 ATS when not favored. Meanwhile, North Texas has struggled as a favorite, posting a 1-3 ATS record in those situations.

With these trends in mind, let's analyze how these teams match up in tonight’s game.

Who is Favored to Win Tulsa vs North Texas?

North Texas is the clear favorite in this matchup, but their recent struggles in covering the spread at home create an interesting betting angle. The Tulsa vs North Texas best bets suggest that Tulsa could stay competitive, as the Golden Hurricane have consistently performed well as underdogs.

According to Rithmm’s model, North Texas is projected to win by 9.6 points, which is well below the current spread of 13.5 points. This creates an edge for Tulsa in this matchup.

Tulsa vs North Texas Betting Trends

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Betting Trends:

  • 3-2 ATS in their last five games
  • 2-1 ATS on the road
  • 3-1 ATS as an underdog

North Texas Mean Green Betting Trends:

  • 2-3 ATS in their last five games
  • 0-2 ATS at home
  • 1-3 ATS as a favorite

Head-to-Head Trends:

  • Tulsa has covered the spread in three of the last four meetings between these teams.
  • North Texas has struggled in games with double-digit spreads.

These trends further support Tulsa as a valuable betting option.

Tulsa vs North Texas Prediction

After reviewing the Tulsa vs North Texas predictions, it’s clear that the spread is too high in this game. Tulsa has been playing well as an underdog, while North Texas has struggled to cover at home.

Best Bet: Tulsa +13.5 (-111)

Tulsa’s ability to cover on the road, combined with North Texas’ struggles as a favorite, makes this a strong play. According to Rithmm’s model, Tulsa has a 62.5% probability of covering the spread, creating solid value in this game.

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