US Open 2024: Round 2 Best Bets & AI Caddie Picks
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For all the talk we heard this week about how good of a host course that Pinehurst would be for the 2024 U.S. Open, we were gifted that and more.
After Round 1, only 15 players sit under par, and after 3.26 shots over par today, this track should only get harder as the week goes on and the course dries out even more, making shots even harder to hold the green than today.
Following every round, we’ll be going through my favorite AI golf picks for the following round, as well as the Rithmm-backed AI Caddie hole score picks I’m rolling with. Let’s get into Round 2!
All Odds are found on DraftKings Sportsbook unless otherwise noted
US Open Round 2 AI Caddie Pick
Ludvig Aberg to Birdie or Better Hole 3 (+380)
With a 32% chance to birdie or better the third hole and only nine percent chance to bogey it, what harm is there in swinging at this Aberg prop?
There aren't many birdieable holes on the difficult Pinehurst #2 course, and there will be even less as the weekend goes along. However, the third hole, sitting at under 400 yards and with the USGA noting there are more forward tees they can use to make the hole more risk-reward, could play easy as the week goes along.
In Round 1, this hole played as the sixth-easiest hole. It gave up 19 birdies to players and we could definitely see guys target this as one of their few soft holes to take advantage of.
Aberg was in his bag on day one of the major. He gained the most strokes off the tee and the third-most strokes on approach, so we'll again look for him to be putting himself in great spots to go and fire at pins in this tournament.
US Open Round 2 Best Bet
Matchup Play: Sam Burns > Min Woo Lee (-115)
There was certainly some carnage out there on the greens of Pinehurst in Round 1. Both Burns and Lee struggled with their short games. Burns struggled mightily with his putter, losing over two strokes to the field, while Lee gained tiny bits of a stroke in both categories, but only scramble successfully 57% of the time and isn't great around the green to start with.
Both of the golfers here are above average in Friday rounds. Burns ranked 48th with a scoring average of 69.93, while Lee comes in at 34 with a 69.73 average. Both are determined, but I really cannot see a scenario where Burns loses this many strokes on the green again. His approach game is always solid, but his putter has long been an underrated strong suit.
If Burns gets hot with his putter, I'm not sure Min Woo can keep himself in this matchup. His driving accuracy, solid today at 71.4%, might not hold up, since he ranks 91st in this field in driving accuracy this year and could struggle on these tough fairways.
A return to form shoul seal this up for Burns in Round 2.
Closing Remarks on US Open Round 2 Best Bets
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Useful Resources for betting on the US Open 2024
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