Utah vs Oklahoma State: AI Predictions - College Football NCAAF

Utah is dealing with some challenges, including quarterback Cam Rising's injury, but they enter this game with an impressive 3-0 record. Oklahoma State hasn’t had a flawless start to the season, but they certainly put it all together in their last game. Read on for my Utah vs Oklahoma State AI Prediction.

Preview of Utah vs Oklahoma State AI Predictions

Our AI Picks have you covered for this game + many more

Utah Preview 

In their last matchup against Utah State, they didn’t dominate early on but showed resilience, ultimately pulling away for a 38-21 victory. They outscored Utah State 21-7 in the fourth quarter to seal the win. Issac Wilson had a standout performance, completing 20 of 33 passes for 239 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. Micah Bernard also shined in the run game, racking up 123 yards and a touchdown on 17 carries.

In their other games, Utah defeated Baylor 23-12 and cruised to a 49-0 win against Southern Utah. The key question heading into this matchup is Cam Rising's availability. If Rising is unable to play, Wilson has already shown he can keep Utah competitive and give them a solid shot at another win. 

Oklahoma State Preview 

The Cowboys scored 45 points in a dominant 35-point win over Tulsa. A big 21-point second quarter helped secure the victory early. Strong quarterback play was key, as Alan Bowman delivered an impressive performance, completing 24 of 31 passes for 396 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception.

What made Oklahoma State's performance even more remarkable was that their top offensive player wasn’t at his best. Ollie Gordon managed just 41 yards on 17 carries, while Trent Howland added 53 yards on 10 carries. Meanwhile, De’Zhaun Stribling shined in the passing game, hauling in seven catches for 172 yards and two touchdowns. 

How I Use Rithmm Models for of Utah vs Oklahoma State AI Prediction:

With Rithmm’s AI Picks model you are able to dive deep into just about any trend you can think of, below is just a snap shot of what I pulled for todays game. 

Utah’s Strong Start to the Season:

• The Utes come into this game with a 3-0 record, showing resilience and the ability to win, even while dealing with injuries, such as the uncertainty surrounding quarterback Cam Rising. Utah has won all of their games so far, including a 38-21 victory over Utah State, despite some ups and downs in those performances​

Impressive Defense:

• While Utah's defense has allowed some yardage, they have a knack for generating big plays, including interceptions and sacks. They have 10 sacks and three interceptions through the first three games, indicating that they can apply pressure and disrupt opposing offenses​

Potential Return of Cam Rising:

• If Utah's star quarterback, Cam Rising, is able to play, it would provide a significant boost to the Utes’ offense. Rising is a proven leader and has helped Utah cover the spread in eight of his last 13 starts in 2022​

 Balanced Offense: 

• Utah has shown balance on offense with both a strong rushing attack and an effective passing game. Isaac Wilson stepped in for Rising and threw three touchdowns in their win over Utah State. This depth at quarterback could prove beneficial against Oklahoma State​

Match-up Trends: 

• Oklahoma State ranks T7th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (22.7).
• Oklahoma State ranks 7th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (341.3).
• Utah ranks T1st among FBS teams for H1 win percentage this season (1.000).
• Utah ranks T12th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (16.0).

My Utah vs Oklahoma AI Prediction

The expectation is that Utah quarterback Cam Rising will return to the lineup for this week's game against Oklahoma State. If he plays, Utah's offense is well-positioned to take control against the Cowboys' defense.

Oklahoma State is undefeated and 2-1 against the spread (ATS) with a +9.1 spread  differential. While the team has been performing close to expectations, there are concerns. Two weeks ago, the Cowboys narrowly escaped a loss to Arkansas, despite the Razorbacks putting up 648 yards of total offense, converting 11-of-19 third downs, and averaging 4.9 yards per carry. Arkansas ultimately lost due to three turnovers and seven penalties.

More troubling for Oklahoma State is its defensive history. Last season, the Cowboys ranked 82nd in opponent EPA per play, 107th in opponent EPA per dropback, and 121st in the nation in yards per play allowed (6.48). Those issues were evident against Arkansas, but the Cowboys managed to escape. However, they are unlikely to be as fortunate against a Utah team, especially if Rising is back under center.

Selection: Utah +3

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