The 2024-25 college basketball season continues with Xavier vs Illinois in what should be a competitive non-conference matchup. Both teams are looking to solidify their strengths before heading into conference play. Let’s break down our Xavier vs Illinois predictions, picks, and best bets using insights from Rithmm’s AI-powered models.

Preview of Xavier vs Illinois Prediction

Xavier enters this matchup with a 3-2 record against the total (O/U), showing they can score and keep games competitive, especially on the road where they’ve gone 2-0 on totals. The Musketeers’ offense, averaging 79 points per game, will be critical in this Xavier vs Illinois matchup.

Illinois, on the other hand, holds a 3-2 O/U record, with a solid home performance (2-1 O/U at home). Their defense and pace control will play a big factor in the outcome of this Xavier vs Illinois prediction.

Who is Favored to Win Xavier vs Illinois?

Illinois comes into this game as the favorite, thanks to their home-court advantage and balanced scoring attack. However, with Xavier’s ability to hit the over on the road and keep games close, this Xavier vs Illinois matchup could easily go under the projected total line.

Xavier vs Illinois History and Trends

Before locking in your Xavier vs Illinois picks, let’s take a look at the betting trends:

• Xavier is 3-2 O/U and 2-0 on the road.
• Illinois is 3-2 O/U and 2-1 at home.
• The Fighting Illini average 78.6 points per game, while the Musketeers average 79 points per game.
  These trends suggest that defense could tighten up and the game may finish under the total.

How many times has Illinois beaten Xavier?

Illinois has historically been strong at home, but the Xavier vs Illinois matchup has seen its share of close battles. Xavier’s offensive consistency could keep them in this contest, making the under bet an intriguing play.

Model Used for Xavier vs Illinois Best Bet

Using Rithmm’s pre-built NCAAM model, we analyze team performance and betting data to find the best picks for Xavier vs Illinois.

• Model prediction: Illinois 81, Xavier 78.2
• The model recommends betting on Under 160.5 with a 57.4% win probability.

What chance does Xavier have of beating Illinois?

Rithmm’s model projects a narrow edge for Illinois, but the tight score projection highlights that this Xavier vs Illinois matchup could be decided by a few possessions. That close projection strengthens the case for taking the under.

My Pick for Xavier vs Illinois

After reviewing Xavier vs Illinois predictions, betting trends, and Rithmm model insights, my best bet is Under 160.5. Both teams have shown strong defensive stretches and with a projected close scoreline, the under is the smartest play.

Best Bet: Under 160.5 (-115)

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