Mercury vs Storm: AI Prediction
Table of Contents
In this article, we'll go over three of the models I built using Rithmm (3 Pts, tempo, and defense) that led to my Mercury vs Storm AI prediction and how to filter through all of the bet options.
Using Rithmm Models for Mercury vs Storm AI Predictions
I was able to make my picks using Rithmm to build easy custom sports betting models, which allows users to make informed betting decisions rather than relying purely on intuition.
In this case, I created three different models, each focusing on one key factor that I believe influences games:
- 3-Pointer Model
- Tempo Model
- Defense Model
I then went to the "Best Game Picks" section in the app and filtered for today's games and spreads.
The Rithmm app provided the highest recommended pick from each model, allowing me to compare their predictions for how the game will finish.
3 Pointers Model
Our 3 pointers model focuses on not just how often but how efficient a team shoots from beyond the arc. As shown in the graphic below, I adjusted the model factors so that three-pointers factors has the most weight.
In this matchup between the Phoenix Mercury and the Seattle Storm, the Mercury have really utilized the 3 pointer hitting at a 34.7% from deep while the Storm sit in the middle of the pack hitting 3's at just a 32.2% rate.
As a result, the 3 pointers model's AI prediction for the Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm is:
- Storm -7.5 (vs. Mercury)
Tempo Model
The tempo model is used to determine which teams have the most possessions within the 40 minute game. In this model, I turned the Tempo factor all the way up to see how that affected the Mercury vs Storm AI pick.
In tonight's case, the Mercury are ranked 3rd in PACE which measures the amount of possessions with 97.80 as the Storm are right above them at 98.84 possessions.
As a result, the tempo model's AI prediction for the Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm is:
- Mercury +7.5 (vs. Storm)
Defense Model
Defense wins championships! In this model, the AI uses metrics like steals, blocks, turnovers forced, and points allowed to measure a team's skill on defense or just their defensive rating overall. As you can see, I turned the defense factor all the way up in this custom sports betting model.
Tonight, the Storm play a really strong brand of basketball on defense with a defensive rating of 94.4 while the Mercury are right above the struggling Fever with a rating of 104.4.
As a result, the Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm Ai prediction form the defense model is:
- Storm -7.5 (vs. Mercury)
Additional considerations for my Mercury vs Storm AI pick
Below is my insight for the Mercury vs Storm game:
- Phoenix Mercury: The Mercury, led by Kahleah Cooper, has been a key piece for the Mercury on offense with her 22.9 PPG while shooting 39% from beyond the arc. They have a 2-1 record this year when she scores over 25 points in a game.
- Seattle Storm: The Storm look strong to start off the season with a 5-3 record but winning each of their last 4 games. They are led by super star Jewell Loyd and Nneka Ogwumike who has made her presence felt on the block. They are 5th in the entire WNBA when it comes to difference, beating teams by an average of 4.2 points.
My Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm Prediction
My pick based off of data from my three Rithmm's models: Storm -7.5 (vs. Mercury)
Based off my my models, I believe that the Storm are one of the best teams in the league winning their last 4 games in a row as the Mercury are just 1-4 in their last 5 games.
This matchup should be very intriguing as it includes star players such as Kahleah Cooper (22.9 PPG) and Jewell Loyd (19.8 PPG).
Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury AI Prediction
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